# NUTRITION / What we know, what we don't

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Category: Health
Slides: 13
Updated: 2026-05-17T20:55:56.706Z
Tags: catalog, health, nutrition

## Summary

Field Notes / 13 slides NUTRITION What we know, what we don't. A honest survey of dietary science: macros, micros, the metabolic narrative, ultra-processed foods, the Mediterranean diet, the gut microbiome &mdash; and where the evidence runs thin. Key sections include: Carbs, fats, protein &mdash; and the calorie controversy; Vitamins & minerals: deficiencies and limits; Calories in / calories out &mdash; with caveats; Blood sugar, insulin, and the metabolic narrative; Hyper-palatable, low-satiety &mdash; the dominant culprit?; The strongest evidence base in nutrition; Emerging evidence &mdash; less than once hyped; 1.2 &ndash; 2 g/kg for active adults; The new frontier &mdash; far from fully understood; Consensus on moderation &mdash; details contested.

## Slide Outline

1. Carbs, fats, protein &mdash; and the calorie controversy
2. Vitamins & minerals: deficiencies and limits
3. Calories in / calories out &mdash; with caveats
4. Blood sugar, insulin, and the metabolic narrative
5. Hyper-palatable, low-satiety &mdash; the dominant culprit?
6. The strongest evidence base in nutrition
7. Emerging evidence &mdash; less than once hyped
8. 1.2 &ndash; 2 g/kg for active adults
9. The new frontier &mdash; far from fully understood
10. Consensus on moderation &mdash; details contested
11. Most general advice is boring &mdash; and largely correct.
12. Keep going.

## Slide Transcript

### Slide 1: Slide 1

- Field Notes / 13 slides
- NUTRITION
- What we know,
- what we don't.
- A honest survey of dietary science: macros, micros, the metabolic narrative, ultra-processed foods, the Mediterranean diet, the gut microbiome &mdash; and where the evidence runs thin.
- Press &rarr; to begin &middot; Updated 2026

### Slide 2: Carbs, fats, protein &mdash; and the calorie controversy

- 02 &middot; Macronutrients
- The three molecules that supply energy. The body burns them, builds with them, stores them. We have argued for sixty years about the ideal mix; the data keeps refusing to settle the question.
- 4 kcal/g
- Carbohydrates
- Glucose is the brain's preferred fuel. Quality matters more than quantity: whole grains, legumes, fruit. Refined sugar and flour behave differently.
- 9 kcal/g
- Fats
- Densest energy source. Once vilified, now rehabilitated. Saturated vs. unsaturated still matters; trans fats are unambiguous harm.
- 4 kcal/g
- Protein
- Building blocks: muscle, enzymes, hormones. Most active adults underconsume. Plant or animal &mdash; both work if amino acids are complete.
- Open question: Are all calories equivalent? Thermodynamically yes. Metabolically &mdash; satiety, hormonal response, thermic effect &mdash; almost certainly no.

### Slide 3: Vitamins & minerals: deficiencies and limits

- 03 &middot; Micronutrients
- Tiny doses. Outsized consequences. The body cannot synthesize most of them &mdash; they must arrive on the plate. Deficiency causes named diseases (scurvy, rickets, beriberi). Excess can cause harm too.
- Vitamin D: ~40% of US adults below sufficient. Sun, fish, fortification.
- B12: critical for vegans & older adults; supplement or fortify.
- Iron: common deficiency in menstruating women; complex absorption.
- Iodine: the public-health victory of iodized salt.
- Magnesium, potassium: chronically under-consumed in Western diets.
- Essential vitamins
- 15+
- Essential minerals
- 90%
- Of US adults below veg target
- Multivitamin RCTs showing mortality benefit
- Food > pills, in nearly every well-conducted trial.

### Slide 4: Calories in / calories out &mdash; with caveats

- 04 &middot; Energy balance
- The first law of thermodynamics holds. But "CICO" hides what matters: how appetite, hormones, sleep, stress, gut flora, and food composition shape both sides of the equation.
- ~10%
- Calories burned digesting protein
- ~3%
- Burned digesting fat
- 60-70%
- TDEE from BMR (mostly involuntary)
- ±15%
- BMR variation between individuals
- What's true: Sustained energy surplus &rarr; fat gain. Sustained deficit &rarr; loss.
- What's misleading: "Just eat less" assumes appetite is a free variable. It is not.
- What's missing: Food matrix, fiber, processing, timing &mdash; all alter how many calories the body actually extracts and stores.

### Slide 5: Blood sugar, insulin, and the metabolic narrative

- 05 &middot; Glycemic response
- Eat carbs &rarr; blood glucose rises &rarr; insulin secreted &rarr; glucose stored. Sharp spikes followed by crashes drive hunger, energy dips, and (chronically) metabolic dysfunction.
- Glycemic Index ranks foods by spike magnitude.
- Glycemic Load adjusts for portion &mdash; more useful in practice.
- Fiber, fat, and protein flatten the curve.
- Continuous glucose monitors revealed: response is highly individual.
- Type 2 diabetes is now widely framed as a disease of metabolic flexibility.
- Caveat: CGM-driven "personalized nutrition" remains under-evidenced for healthy adults.

### Slide 6: Hyper-palatable, low-satiety &mdash; the dominant culprit?

- 06 &middot; Ultra-processed foods
- Industrial formulations engineered for shelf life, cost, and crave. The NOVA classification calls them group 4: ingredients you don't have in your kitchen, processes you can't replicate at home.
- ~58%
- Of US calories from UPF
- Up from ~24% in the 1970s. Children & lower-income brackets eat the most.
- +508 kcal/day
- Hall NIH trial (2019)
- RCT: subjects fed UPF ate ~500 kcal/day more than matched whole-food diet, gained weight in 2 weeks.
- ↑ risk
- Observational signal
- Higher UPF intake associates with cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes, depression, all-cause mortality.
- Honest caveat: "Ultra-processed" is a fuzzy category. Whole-grain bread is technically processed. The mechanism &mdash; palatability? additives? texture? &mdash; is still being unpicked.

### Slide 7: The strongest evidence base in nutrition

- 07 &middot; Mediterranean diet
- Olive oil, vegetables, legumes, nuts, fish, whole grains, modest wine, little red meat. The PREDIMED trial &mdash; despite a republished re-analysis &mdash; remains the most credible large RCT for cardiovascular protection.
- 30% lower major cardiovascular events vs. low-fat control (PREDIMED).
- Consistent observational benefits: stroke, cognitive decline, mortality.
- Not a "diet" so much as a pattern of eating, social and seasonal.
- Works across populations &mdash; though adherence outside the Mediterranean is harder than it sounds.
- Daily / weekly pattern
- DAILY Olive oil
- DAILY Vegetables
- DAILY Whole grains
- DAILY Fruit, nuts
- 2&times;/wk Fish, seafood
- 2&times;/wk Legumes
- MODERATE Wine, dairy
- RARE Red meat, sweets

### Slide 8: Emerging evidence &mdash; less than once hyped

- 08 &middot; Time-restricted eating
- Compress eating into an 8&ndash;10 hour window; let the rest of the day be water and coffee. Animal models showed striking metabolic benefits. In humans, the picture has cooled.
- Common protocol (16:8)
- Practical for many; aligns eating with daylight; may aid adherence to modest deficit.
- Weight-loss benefit vs. matched-calorie
- 2022 NEJM trial & meta-analyses: when calories are matched, the timing benefit largely disappears.
- ↓ muscle?
- Caveat for older adults
- Some signals of greater lean-mass loss in long-window restrictions; protein distribution matters.
- Verdict: Useful as an eating-discipline scaffold for some. Not a metabolic magic bullet. The evidence is honest about that.

### Slide 9: 1.2 &ndash; 2 g/kg for active adults

- 09 &middot; Protein
- The RDA (0.8 g/kg) is a floor, not a target &mdash; designed to prevent deficiency, not optimize performance, satiety, or healthy aging.
- Muscle: resistance training without adequate protein wastes the stimulus.
- Satiety: highest of the macros; meals with 25-40g blunt later hunger.
- Aging: sarcopenia begins in your 40s; older adults likely need more, not less.
- Distribution: 3-4 doses of 25-40g works better than one big hit.
- Source: animal protein has higher leucine; plant works at higher total intake.
- 0.8
- RDA g/kg (floor)
- 1.2&ndash;1.6
- Active adult g/kg
- 1.6&ndash;2.2
- Building muscle g/kg
- ~3-8%
- Muscle lost / decade past 30
- For an 80kg person: ~96&ndash;176g protein/day depending on goal.

### Slide 10: The new frontier &mdash; far from fully understood

- 10 &middot; Gut microbiome
- ~38 trillion bacterial cells. Hundreds of species. They digest fiber we can't, manufacture vitamins, train the immune system, talk to the brain. We are barely past cataloguing them.
- ~30g
- Daily fiber target
- Most adults consume half. Fermentable fiber feeds short-chain fatty acid producers &mdash; arguably the single most evidenced lever.
- 30+
- Plant species per week
- American Gut Project signal: diversity of plants > diversity of microbes > metabolic markers.
- Probiotic supplements
- Some strains help specific conditions; most "general health" claims are not supported. Fermented foods (yogurt, kimchi, kefir) more reliable.
- Reality check: "Personalized microbiome diets" sold by startups are running ahead of the science. We don't yet know what a "good" microbiome looks like.

### Slide 11: Consensus on moderation &mdash; details contested

- 11 &middot; Salt, sugar, alcohol
- SALT
- < 5g/day (WHO)
- Average intake ~9g. Strong link to hypertension at the population level. The "salt skeptics" debate is real but minority.
- SUGAR
- < 25g added/day (WHO)
- Average ~70g. Liquid sugar (soda, juice) most clearly harmful. Sugar in fruit and dairy: not the same problem.
- ALCOHOL
- No safe level (Lancet 2018)
- The "1-2 drinks is healthy" J-curve has largely been retracted by better-controlled studies. Less is better; zero is best for cancer risk.
- What we know: reducing all three reduces population disease burden. What we argue about: the precise thresholds, and how much they vary individually.

### Slide 12: Most general advice is boring &mdash; and largely correct.

- 12 &middot; The honest assessment
- After all the controversies, the durable advice is unglamorous:
- Eat vegetables &mdash; many, varied, often.
- Eat fish a couple of times a week.
- Eat whole grains, legumes, nuts; not refined.
- Eat less added sugar; drink less alcohol.
- Eat enough protein, especially as you age.
- Cook at home. Avoid most ultra-processed things.
- Sleep, move, share meals. The plate is part of a life.
- "Eat food. Not too much. Mostly plants." &mdash; Michael Pollan, still hard to improve on.

### Slide 13: Keep going.

- 13 &middot; Further reading
- Two starting points on YouTube &mdash; a general overview and a deep dive on the ultra-processed-food story that has reshaped recent debate.
- YouTube search
- Nutrition science, explained &rarr;
- YouTube search
- Ultra-processed food &mdash; Chris van Tulleken &rarr;
- Ultra-Processed People &mdash; Chris van Tulleken (2023)
- In Defense of Food &mdash; Michael Pollan (2008)
- The PREDIMED Study &mdash; Estruch et al., NEJM (2018, republished)
- The Hall NIH UPF Trial &mdash; Cell Metabolism (2019)
- NIH Office of Dietary Supplements &mdash; ods.od.nih.gov
- Examine.com &mdash; independent supplement & nutrition meta-reviews
- NUTRITION / Field notes 2026 &mdash; what we know, what we don't
- End of deck


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