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Weather

A live console of the global atmosphere — circulation, fronts, severe weather, forecasting. Drawn from NOAA, ECMWF, and the storm-watcher tradition of...

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A live console of the global atmosphere — circulation, fronts, severe weather, forecasting. Drawn from NOAA, ECMWF, and the storm-watcher tradition of Beaufort, Fitzroy, and the chasers of Tornado Alley. Key sections include: Weather; The Air We Live In; Three Cells, Six Winds; Where Air Masses Meet; Cloud Atlas; The Top of the Beaufort Scale; The Eye; Active Watch Categories; Numerical Weather Prediction; Tornado Alley.

Key sections

  • 01Weather
  • 02The Air We Live In
  • 03Three Cells, Six Winds
  • 04Where Air Masses Meet
  • 05Cloud Atlas
  • 06The Top of the Beaufort Scale
  • 07The Eye
  • 08Active Watch Categories
  • 09Numerical Weather Prediction
  • 10Tornado Alley
  • 11ENSO — The Oscillation
  • 12Decoding the Weather Machine
  • 13The Sky as Common Property

Topics covered

Slide outline
  1. 01Weather
  2. 02The Air We Live In
  3. 03Three Cells, Six Winds
  4. 04Where Air Masses Meet
  5. 05Cloud Atlas
  6. 06The Top of the Beaufort Scale
  7. 07The Eye
  8. 08Active Watch Categories
  9. 09Numerical Weather Prediction
  10. 10Tornado Alley
  11. 11ENSO — The Oscillation
  12. 12Decoding the Weather Machine
  13. 13The Sky as Common Property
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2026-05-17
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Presentation Transcript

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Slide 01

The Air We Live In

  • Earth's atmosphere is 78% nitrogen, 21% oxygen, 0.93% argon, 0.04% CO₂. 99% of its mass sits within 32 km of the surface. Five layers, defined by temperature gradient.
  • Troposphere 0–12km · weather lives here
  • Stratosphere 12–50km · ozone, jets fly here
  • Mesosphere 50–85km · meteors burn here
  • Thermosphere 85–600km · ISS orbits here, aurorae
  • Exosphere 600km+ · merges with space
Slide 02

Three Cells, Six Winds

  • Earth's rotation and uneven solar heating split the atmosphere into three convection cells per hemisphere — Hadley (equator–30°), Ferrel (30°–60°), Polar (60°–pole). Surface winds: trades (NE/SE), westerlies, polar easterlies. The Coriolis effect deflects right (N) / left (S).
Slide 03

Where Air Masses Meet

  • A front is the boundary between two air masses of different temperature and humidity. Fronts produce most of mid-latitude weather.
  • // COLD FRONT
  • Cold air pushes warm air up steeply. Narrow band of intense rain, thunderstorms. Temperature drops fast.
  • // WARM FRONT
  • Warm air rides up over cold. Long, gradual rain over hours. Cirrus → cirrostratus → nimbostratus.
  • // OCCLUDED
  • A cold front overtakes a warm front. Triple-point intersections breed severe storms.
Slide 04

Cloud Atlas

  • Luke Howard's 1803 nomenclature — Latin roots — survives unchanged: cirrus (curl), cumulus (heap), stratus (layer), nimbus (rain).
  • HIGH 5-13km
  • Cirrus
  • ice crystals, mares' tails
  • MID 2-7km
  • Altostratus
  • grey sheet, sun veiled
  • LOW 0-2km
  • Stratus
  • low fog, drizzle
  • VERTICAL
  • Cumulonimbus
  • to 20km, anvil top, severe
Slide 05

The Top of the Beaufort Scale

  • F5/EF5
  • Tornado: ≥320 km/h, frame house leveled
  • Cat 5
  • Hurricane: ≥252 km/h, catastrophic
  • Beaufort: hurricane, ≥118 km/h
  • Hurricane Patricia (2015, eastern Pacific) reached 345 km/h sustained — the strongest reliably measured. Tornadoes form in the supercell's mesocyclone, where rotating updrafts (originating in horizontal wind shear) tilt vertical and tighten. Tornado Alley runs from north Texas through Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska — uniquely positioned where Gulf moisture meets dry continental air and Rocky Mountain cap.
Slide 06

The Eye

  • A mature tropical cyclone has three structures: the eyewall (60–80 km/h to 350+ km/h winds, deepest convection), the eye (calm, descending air, 30–60 km diameter), and spiral rainbands extending hundreds of km out.
  • Hurricane Hunters of the 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron fly Lockheed WC-130J Super Hercules through eyewalls at 3,000m to deploy dropsondes — the data improves track forecasts by ~30%.
  • Saffir-Simpson scale developed 1971 by engineer Herbert Saffir & meteorologist Robert Simpson.
Slide 07

Active Watch Categories

  • [TOR]Tornado warning — funnel sighted or radar-indicated rotation
  • [FFW]Flash flood warning — life-threatening rainfall accumulation
  • [SVR]Severe thunderstorm — 93+ km/h wind, hail ≥2.5cm
  • [HUR]Hurricane warning — sustained 119+ km/h within 36hr
  • [BLZ]Blizzard — visibility < 400m, winds 56+ km/h, ≥3 hours
  • [WTR]Winter storm — heavy snow, ice, mixed precipitation
  • [XHT]Excessive heat warning — heat index ≥41°C, 2+ days
Slide 08

Numerical Weather Prediction

  • Lewis Fry Richardson's 1922 dream — computing the weather from physics — became reality on April 5, 1950, when the ENIAC produced the first 24-hr forecast in 24 hours. Today the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (Reading, UK) and NOAA GFS are the gold-standard global models.
  • A modern forecast solves the primitive equations on a 9 km grid worldwide, ingesting ~50 million observations per day from satellites, balloons, ships, aircraft. Forecast skill at day 5 today exceeds day 3 in the 1980s. Ensemble methods (50 perturbed runs) probability-cone hurricane tracks.
  • "The atmosphere is a chaotic system; this does not prevent us forecasting it — only forecasting it perfectly." — Edward Lorenz, 1963
Slide 09

Tornado Alley

  • Howard Bluestein, professor at the University of Oklahoma, has chased and probed mesocyclones with mobile Doppler radar since the 1970s. His work and that of the VORTEX field projects (1994, 2009) revealed the inflow geometry that distinguishes tornado-producing supercells. The El Reno tornado of May 31, 2013 — 4.2 km wide, the widest ever recorded — killed researchers Tim Samaras, Paul Samaras, and Carl Young of the TWISTEX team.
  • Tetsuya "Ted" Fujita, University of Chicago, devised the F-scale (1971); refined to EF-scale 2007.
Slide 10

ENSO — The Oscillation

  • The El Niño–Southern Oscillation is the dominant year-to-year climate variability on the planet. Trade winds slacken; warm Pacific water sloshes east toward South America; the entire global rainfall pattern shifts. El Niño brings drought to Indonesia and Australia, flood to Peru, mild winters to the northern US. La Niña reverses the pattern. The 1997–98 El Niño is the largest on instrumental record; the 2023–24 event nearly matched it.
Slide 11

Decoding the Weather Machine

  • PBS NOVA
  • Two-hour PBS NOVA documentary on circulation, climate models, and the men and women who chase storms with mobile radar trucks across the Plains. Features Robert Henson, Jennifer Francis, and footage from inside an EF4.
  • → youtube.com/watch?v=xPpVbjrpt2w
Slide 12

The Sky as Common Property

  • Robert FitzRoy, captain of HMS Beagle, founded the UK Meteorological Office in 1854 and issued the world's first storm warnings to fishing ports — a public good without precedent. He took his life in 1865, exhausted by the work and by attacks from skeptics. Today some 5 million weather observations are exchanged daily between national services through the WMO's Global Telecommunication System. The atmosphere is a single fluid; you cannot forecast Boston tomorrow without the data from Mongolia today. Weather is the planet's oldest and most successful collaborative project.
  • "Every weather forecast is a small miracle of physics, computation, and international cooperation." — Tim Palmer, Royal Society
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